In this edition of The Business, Vimal Gor, Pendal’s Head of Bond, Income & Defensive Strategies featured in a panel discussion to share his insights into the outlook for interest rates, Australia’s economy and key offshore factors to watch in 2019.

View the video here.

The market is now expecting a greater chance of a cut by the RBA than a hike over the next year. At the same time the central bank has held firm in its bias to leave rates on hold. In this quarter’s update our Australian rates PM, Tim Hext, offers his views on the outlook for 2019 and what could move the dial. We also assess the prospects for the local credit market, where macro risks have weighed on investor appetite and liquidity has become increasingly scarce. Meanwhile in cash markets, funding cost increases have fuelled out-of-cycle mortgage rate hikes. Our Cash PM, Steve Campbell takes a deeper dive into the causes and also examines issues in the RMBS market. Finally, we discuss new developments in the ESG arena including NSW TCorp’s first green bond issuance.

We hope you find the piece useful and welcome feedback from readers.

View our Australian Quarterly Update here.