Fast podcast: Three things blunting the impact of rate rises on inflation | Pendal Group
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Fast podcast: Three things blunting the impact of rate rises on inflation

July 19, 2023

Inflation isn’t under control and the RBA still has work to do, argues Pendal’s OLIVER GE

You can also listen to this podcast on Apple or Spotify
An excerpt from this interview with Oliver Ge, an assistant portfolio manager with Pendal’s income and fixed interest team

Inflation isn’t under control and the RBA still has work to do, argues Oliver Ge, an assistant portfolio manager with Pendal’s income and fixed interest team

“I think at 4.1% we’re still at least a couple of hikes away,” says Oliver in our latest fast podcast.

“Depending on where wages and inflation prints later this month, I think possibly we may follow the path of New Zealand or the UK into the 5.5%, possibly 6% region.”

Oliver points to three things blunting the impact of rate rises:

“Firstly, the Australian economy is demonstrating a level of resilience that’s greatly surpassed most expectations.

“Secondly, there seems to be a wage-price spiral in certain aspects of inflation that continues to channel within the CPI basket, so it persists at a level that warrants concern.

“Thirdly, despite market chatter about the potential fallout from high interest rates – particularly for mortgage holders – our analysis shows that Australians, on aggregate, aren’t as vulnerable as one might assume.”

Oliver goes into detail in the podcast.


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About Oliver Ge and Pendal’s Income and Fixed Interest boutique

Oliver Ge is an Assistant Portfolio Manager with Pendal’s Income and Fixed Interest (IFI) team.

Oliver works on developing and running key quantitative investment models, and acting as trading support for the Income & Fixed Interest team. Oliver received his Bachelor of Commerce (Finance) from the University of Sydney and is also a CFA Charterholder.

Pendal’s IFI boutique is one of the most experienced and well-regarded fixed income teams in Australia. In 2020 the team won the Australian Fixed Interest category in the Zenith awards.

The invests across income, composite, pure alpha, global and Australian government strategies.

Find out more about Pendal’s fixed interest strategies here


About Pendal Group

Pendal is an independent, global investment management business focused on delivering superior investment returns for our clients through active management.

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