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Quick, actionable insights for investors
This month’s divergence in US and China rates policies wasn’t just a curiosity for money managers, observes Pendal’s head of income strategies, Amy Xie Patrick.
“It’s a study in contrasts, a reflection of deeper structural differences, and a reminder that policy effectiveness doesn’t always come wrapped in transparency or even democracy,” says Amy in her latest markets analysis.
On May 7, the US Fed left rates unchanged despite growing political pressure. Meanwhile, the People’s Bank of China delivered another dose of stimulus.
“One central bank faced market criticism over its non-committal guidance,” notes Amy. “The other moved swiftly and silently, without needing to justify its decision.
“Perhaps the most contrarian yet valuable takeaway is that less policy guidance may be a good thing.
“By avoiding the hard task of forecasting far into the future, we free ourselves from unhelpful narratives may that turn out to be false.
“By focusing on getting it right rather than always being right, we’re able to preserve the flexibility to change course when the fundamentals change.”
Read Amy’s full article here
The Income and Fixed Interest team discuss the deep expertise, diversity of thought and disciplined decision-making driving outcomes for investors
Here are the key takeaways from the Federal Budget and February’s inflation data, according to head of government bond strategies TIM HEXT
In the midst of Trump-driven market turmoil, staying focused on Australian data remains crucial, says Pendal’s head of government bonds TIM HEXT
Australia’s latest national accounts show GDP growth at 0.6% for the December quarter, suggesting economic conditions may be moving closer to “normal”.
But we may be “running to stand still” unless productivity starts improving, warns Pendal’s head of government bonds Tim Hext.
Tim has three takeaways from the latest data:
A gradual rate cut path over 2025 should support economic growth, meaning investors should think carefully about fixed-income positioning. Pendal’s TIM HEXT and ANZ’s ADAM BOYTON explain in a new webinar
Many fixed-income investors will soon be looking for new opportunities as prudential regulator APRA starts to phase out bank hybrids from 2027.
Bank hybrids have been a popular cornerstone of income-generating portfolios. But did they truly live up to their promise – and is there a better strategy?
Pendal’s head of income strategies Amy Xi Patrick answers both questions in a new article.
Amy argues bank hybrids are ill-suited to serving a defensive role; not as easily bought and sold as investors might believe; and may not meet their “higher income potential”.
Investors can find better alternatives, she believes
“We start by mapping investment objectives to assets that have a proven track record of delivering against those objectives.
That means we don’t have to accept market narratives about hybrids (or any other asset types) that have not been entirely accurate.”
In this article, Amy describes a portfolio construction method she believes is better suited to producing a regular, stable and repeatable income stream and capital growth to help offset the effects of inflation.
Read the article
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