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Why is inflation spiking? | Insights into equities rotation | Rising interest in green bonds | Where to for rates?
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A gradual rate cut path over 2025 should support economic growth, meaning investors should think carefully about fixed-income positioning. Pendal’s TIM HEXT and ANZ’s ADAM BOYTON explain in a new webinar
Here are the main factors driving the ASX this week, according to Aussie equities analyst and portfolio manager ELISE MCKAY and reported by head investment specialist CHRIS ADAMS
Read Pendal’s latest weekly equities overview.
Impact of Trump’s tariffs | How to approach volatility in AI stocks | Inflation data “good news” for RBA
Investors should be ready for any scenario as Donald Trump weaponises trade tariffs.
This week we await the outcome of a call between Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping to find out if tit-for-tat US-China tariffs will be paused as they were for Mexico and Canada.
But either way it would take a lot to disrupt the momentum of China’s big online retailers, argues Pendal’s Samir Mehta.
Last year China’s four big online shopping platforms – Alibaba’s AliExpress, TikTok, Shein and Temu – shipped almost $US200 billion worth of goods internationally. Of that, some $45 billion went to the US.
In anticipation of tariffs, Temu and Shein had already modified bulk shipping, diversified logistics and expanded their US networks. Meanwhile as TikTok’s future hung in the balance, Americans flocked to another Chinese app: Xiaohongshu.
“When a product provides a value proposition far superior to alternatives, tariffs might temporarily alter – but not permanently change – human behaviour,” says Samir.
Market volatility sparked by China’s surprise DeepSeek AI app underscores the benefits of taking an active approach to portfolio management, argues Pendal’s Elise McKay.
DeepSeek rocked the tech world last week by demonstrating performance similar to OpenAI’s ChatGPT at a fraction of the development cost.
Market reaction was swift. Nvidia, the leading supplier of AI chips, dropped 17 per cent.
“The day-one market reaction is not necessarily reflective of the medium-or-longer-term outlook,” says Elise. “It is important to look through the noise.
“Volatility is a reflection of the unknown — and uncertain situations can create opportunities as we get clarity.
“DeepSeek demonstrates how the increasing influence of passive money in equity markets is creating opportunities for active managers.
“Cheaper AI shifts power away from the handful of hyper-scalers who could previously charge a premium for access. Open-source models mean a wider range of people can use it.”
“That could mean a broadening of market leadership away from the Magnificent Seven tech leaders such as Nvidia and Meta.”
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Get regular insights on investing, market analysis and portfolio management from the experts at Perpetual Group.