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The Point
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Nov 27
Why is inflation spiking? | Insights into equities rotation | Rising interest in green bonds | Where to for rates?
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November 26, 2025
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Tim Hext: Is Inflation creeping higher? Are rate cuts over?
THE narrative driving the Reserve Bank and markets this year is that well behaved inflation allows cash rates to slowly move back to neutral.
The exact timing and speed, and indeed where neutral is, would be set against the backdrop of the other key RBA objective – employment.
The RBA recently updated its year-end inflation forecasts to 3% headline and 2.6% underlying (or “trimmed mean”).
So you might expect today’s monthly CPI numbers – 3% headline and 2.6% underlying –to be greeted with a shoulder shrug.
The numbers are volatile but all seems on track.
Oct 13
Two scenarios are emerging in the US | Why Chinese markets still look strong
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Get regular insights on investing, market analysis and portfolio management from the experts at Perpetual Group.